Towards Data Science: Napoleon was the Best General Ever, and the Math Proves it.

Other December 8, 2017 1
Towards Data Science: Napoleon was the Best General Ever, and the Math Proves it.

By Ethan Arsht:

Ranking Every* General in the History of Warfare

*Almost every

When Africanus asked who, in Hannibal’s opinion, was the greatest general, Hannibal named Alexander… as to whom he would rank second, Hannibal selected Pyrrhus asking whom Hannibal considered third, he named himself without hesitation. Then Scipio broke into a laugh and said, “What would you say if you had defeated me?”

— Livy

“Like Hannibal, I wanted to rank powerful leaders in the history of warfare. Unlike Hannibal, I sought to use data to determine a general’s abilities, rather than specific accounts of generals’ achievements. The result is a system for ranking every prominent commander in military history.

The Method

Inspired by baseball sabermetrics, I opted to use a system of Wins Above Replacement (WAR). WAR is often used as an estimate of a baseball player’s contributions to his team. It calculates the total wins added (or subtracted) by the player compared to a replacement-level player…”

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One Comment »

  1. Roger Cooper January 12, 2018 at 2:11 am - Reply

    I reviewed the data and would conclude the Wellington was the better general. His average performance was better than Napoleon and he beat Napoleon.

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